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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.20+2.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28+0.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.69+3.97vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77-0.02vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.28+3.36vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.80-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.18-1.22vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-4.78vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.02+0.15vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.64-2.79vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University-0.82+0.15vs Predicted
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14Yale University0.23-3.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.08vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.79vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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10.36Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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5.66McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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5.22Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.15Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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9.21Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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13.15Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.59Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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13.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.5Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 14.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Keller | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Poitras | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Julien Brunet | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 4.8% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 29.0% | 7.7% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 31.0% | 8.6% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.