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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.80+4.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.88vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.18+3.68vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.77+0.68vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.28-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-1.60vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+1.17vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.98-3.61vs Predicted
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10Yale University0.23+0.49vs Predicted
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11Bates College0.02+0.11vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30+1.08vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-0.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.69-5.85vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.95vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.6University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.59Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.4University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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9.17Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.39Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.49Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.11Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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10.32Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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14.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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13.24Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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14.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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16.49Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Brunet | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Haviland | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 15.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Herde | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Corinne Poitras | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 21.6% | 29.2% | 10.3% |
| Camille Britton | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 27.9% | 7.8% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.