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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+4.72vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.28+8.23vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.20+1.63vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+1.33vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64+4.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-1.68vs Predicted
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8McGill University1.80-2.32vs Predicted
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9Bates College0.02+2.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.69-0.91vs Predicted
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11Yale University0.23-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.18-4.40vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-8.50vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-0.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.22-1.04vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.77vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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10.23Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.21Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.68McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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11.2Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.53Yale University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island1.180.1%1st Place
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4.5Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.29Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.220.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.5Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Poitras | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Moffitt | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Keller | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Adam Wolnikowski | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Meghan Haviland | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Boucher | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.5% | 30.0% | 7.6% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 13.8% | 22.8% | 29.6% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.