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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+3.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.79+3.14vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.81+5.26vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut2.62+4.92vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-2.69vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.78-1.53vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.34+1.44vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.11-1.69vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.31-3.18vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.47-1.55vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-3.72vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.06vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.77-5.67vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.26Maine Maritime Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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3.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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5.47Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.44Columbia University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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6.82Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University2.470.0%1st Place
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8.28Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.33Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Poole | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 23.6% | 23.8% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Billy Hines | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Reeve Dunne | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% |
| Graham Philpot | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 30.8% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Will Pelleteri | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.