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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nick Myneni 55.2% 29.9% 11.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lila Torresen 20.3% 30.4% 23.2% 15.1% 7.3% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Astrid Myhre 5.1% 10.0% 15.5% 18.4% 19.5% 14.0% 10.1% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Kate Sorbie 8.1% 12.0% 18.9% 19.9% 16.4% 11.5% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
George Prokop 2.5% 4.2% 6.5% 9.6% 10.4% 15.2% 16.9% 16.9% 13.7% 4.2%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.3% 3.2% 6.5% 9.6% 12.9% 16.5% 16.6% 16.0% 11.8% 4.6%
Alex Schlotterer 1.6% 1.8% 4.3% 6.5% 7.2% 8.9% 12.9% 17.5% 24.8% 14.5%
Adam Bryan 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 4.0% 4.4% 7.8% 14.5% 63.1%
Leo Barch 1.8% 2.4% 4.0% 6.5% 8.5% 11.1% 13.6% 18.8% 22.7% 10.8%
Hannah Monville 2.6% 5.3% 8.8% 10.2% 14.7% 16.5% 17.1% 13.8% 8.6% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.