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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+1.80vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.82+2.28vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.26+0.26vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46+2.50vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.09+1.26vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.54+3.19vs Predicted
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8Wake Forest University0.05-2.07vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.01-3.76vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-2.02-0.17vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-2.05-1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.67-2.81vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-3.12-1.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Miami1.6428.0%1st Place
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4.28Jacksonville University0.8213.1%1st Place
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3.26University of South Florida1.2621.2%1st Place
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4.42Rollins College0.4112.2%1st Place
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7.5University of Central Florida-0.463.5%1st Place
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7.26Rollins College0.093.5%1st Place
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10.19Embry-Riddle University-1.540.7%1st Place
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5.93Wake Forest University0.057.4%1st Place
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8.41Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.5%1st Place
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6.24University of South Florida0.015.1%1st Place
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10.83Davidson College-2.020.6%1st Place
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10.92Florida State University-2.051.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Central Florida-1.671.0%1st Place
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12.76College of Coastal Georgia-3.120.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 28.0% | 24.7% | 18.1% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 13.1% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 21.2% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 12.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McGeough | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rylie Cataldo | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 6.2% |
| Quinn Healey | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Blake March | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jim Wang | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 13.3% |
| Rain Hong | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 7.2% |
| James Nave | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.