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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University2.16+2.46vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.12+1.54vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93-0.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.30-0.67vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.15vs Predicted
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6Auburn University0.45-0.14vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.54Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.33College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.85Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.86Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.6American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lisicki | 16.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 3.7% |
| Hadley Burnham | 14.1% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 20.0% | 17.4% | 10.0% | 3.4% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.1% | 27.0% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Hause | 18.2% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 17.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 20.1% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
| Robert Dye | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 25.9% | 46.3% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 29.4% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.