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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.69+8.05vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+2.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.99vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.77+1.99vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.20-1.12vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.80-1.15vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.64+1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.18-1.17vs Predicted
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10Bates College0.02+1.18vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.81vs Predicted
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12Yale University-0.45+0.46vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-8.42vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.28-3.44vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.82-1.74vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.30-1.66vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-3.10-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Tufts University0.690.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island2.360.2%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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5.2Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island2.200.1%1st Place
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5.85McGill University1.800.1%1st Place
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9.22Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island1.180.0%1st Place
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11.18Bates College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.46Yale University-0.450.0%1st Place
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4.58Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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10.56Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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13.26Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.300.0%1st Place
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16.54Middlebury College-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Keller | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Moffitt | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Brunet | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Meghan Haviland | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Herde | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% |
| Jonathan Schwartz | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 2.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Camille Britton | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Gallagher | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 18.3% | 35.6% | 10.5% |
| Benjamin Dohan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 10.7% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.