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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+4.94vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.43vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.23+2.47vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.92vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-0.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.58vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-1.73vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+3.47vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-2.83vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-3.86vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.21vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.80-5.65vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.50-5.38vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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15.47Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.17Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.14Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.62Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.87Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 11.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 49.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Matt Safford | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Trevor Long | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 7.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.