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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+7.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+7.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80+6.15vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.88vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+8.17vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.33vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.82vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.22vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-0.59vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-5.05vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.81-4.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.62vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.75-5.41vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.97-7.31vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.50-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.17Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.67Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.41Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.69Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.34Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 47.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matt Safford | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.