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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+8.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+7.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.50+7.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.60vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.75+4.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.46vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.330.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.06vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+0.50vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61+0.19vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.80-2.88vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.75vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.23-6.57vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.12-7.00vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-1.68vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.93-12.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.74Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.4Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.53Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.46Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.43Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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15.32Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.55Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% |
| Trevor Long | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 12.8% |
| Conner Harding | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 48.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.