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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+7.24vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.87vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+4.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.56vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+2.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+2.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.50+3.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-1.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.75-1.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-2.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.80-3.97vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-3.95vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-1.66vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.48-10.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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11.38Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.34Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
| Trevor Long | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Matt Safford | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 47.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.