← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.50+10.63vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.75+8.72vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.14vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.33+3.93vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.12+3.91vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.53+1.27vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.81+3.25vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.44vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.80+1.29vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.11vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.61+0.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.48-4.21vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.23-4.68vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island3.09-5.24vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.35-7.13vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.97-6.35vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.93-11.14vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.39-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.63Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.72Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.93Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
8.91Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.27Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.25Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
12.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.29University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.2Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
7.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.32Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.76University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.87Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.65Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
5.86Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
15.09Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Weed | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% |
| Matt Safford | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Conner Harding | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.