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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+7.30vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+7.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.13vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.37vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+5.53vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+7.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.12-0.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+0.50vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.75-0.34vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-5.95vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-5.86vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.50-2.78vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-6.03vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.61-4.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.27vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.80-7.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.13Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.11Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.5Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.66Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.22Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 13.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 48.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Matt Safford | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.