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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.75+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+3.54vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.70+1.54vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.50+1.37vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-0.67+3.41vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.61+1.93vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48-2.42vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20-0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.21-3.65vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-1.99+2.22vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.00-1.81vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.83-2.06vs Predicted
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14Wake Forest University-2.44+0.32vs Predicted
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15Davidson College-1.97-1.70vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-2.40-1.60vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-2.01vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-2.81-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Jacksonville University0.7512.8%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida0.4510.3%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University0.7014.9%1st Place
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4.47Rollins College0.9515.1%1st Place
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6.37University of South Florida0.508.2%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University-0.672.3%1st Place
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8.93Rollins College-0.614.0%1st Place
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5.58Jacksonville University0.4810.3%1st Place
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8.26University of Central Florida-0.204.6%1st Place
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6.35University of Miami0.218.6%1st Place
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13.22University of Central Florida-1.991.1%1st Place
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10.19Florida State University-1.002.8%1st Place
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10.94Embry-Riddle University-1.832.2%1st Place
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14.32Wake Forest University-2.440.6%1st Place
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13.3Davidson College-1.970.8%1st Place
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14.4Unknown School-2.400.3%1st Place
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14.99Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.8%1st Place
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15.15College of Coastal Georgia-2.810.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Pappas | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Sexton | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 7.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% |
| John Beacham | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 25.9% |
| Keira LePage | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.