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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.30+2.26vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.12+1.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93-0.63vs Predicted
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4Clemson University2.16-0.46vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-1.14vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.15vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.52Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.54Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.86Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.6American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hause | 19.2% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Hadley Burnham | 14.3% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Warren | 34.6% | 26.3% | 18.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Drew Lisicki | 15.2% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 3.2% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.8% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Robert Dye | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 26.2% | 46.1% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 29.1% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.