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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+7.17vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+8.56vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.38vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+3.47vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.33+2.04vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.93-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.09+0.95vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+1.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-1.29vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+3.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.39vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.75-4.55vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-8.62vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.80-6.56vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.50-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.27Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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15.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.38Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.800.0%1st Place
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11.27Brown University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Conner Harding | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 49.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matt Safford | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Tucker Weed | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.