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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+9.73vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+8.02vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+4.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+4.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90+2.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-1.50vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.05+3.44vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82+3.47vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-1.96vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-3.31vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.82-3.90vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.34vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-6.27vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-7.74vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.13-8.84vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.28-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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5.91Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.98Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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13.47Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.69Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.1Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.73Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.26Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| Max Clapp | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 35.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.