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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+8.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+8.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+6.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+4.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+1.53vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.92+2.88vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09+1.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.28+2.53vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.70-1.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.05+0.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-4.74vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.13-6.29vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.47vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.90-6.98vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.72-11.11vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.82-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.49Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.07Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.26Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.71Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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14.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.02Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.07Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Clapp | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 34.7% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.