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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.05+11.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+6.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+5.75vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.92+3.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+3.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.90+1.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04+0.29vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.54vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-1.75vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-1.68vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.09-3.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-5.37vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-1.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-0.44vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-4.31vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-6.33vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.49-11.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.56Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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5.87Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.78Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.97Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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10.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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6.37Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Max Clapp | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 35.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.