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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+9.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+7.57vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+4.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.94+4.71vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+1.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90+2.94vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.05+5.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+1.09vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-0.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-4.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28+0.62vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.13-3.61vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82+0.09vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-6.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-6.51vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-7.01vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.04-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.71Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.94Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.44Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.09Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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5.93Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.09Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.91Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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14.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 12.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Max Clapp | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 19.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 36.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.