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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.94+7.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+7.83vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+5.65vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.28+5.54vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+2.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92+0.79vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.34vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-2.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+3.62vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.05+0.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-4.59vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-5.00vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.90-6.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-2.66vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.49-10.24vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.04-9.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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5.66Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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14.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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12.76Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.96Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.34Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.2Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alden Grimes | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Max Clapp | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 36.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.