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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.74vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+5.94vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.05+9.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.89vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.76vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+4.50vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.94+1.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-1.54vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.07vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-1.70vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-3.26vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-4.98vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.28-2.78vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.90-6.07vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.82-2.65vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-2.28vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.82-8.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.81Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.74Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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8.93Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.35Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.08Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Clapp | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.7% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 20.1% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 16.2% | 37.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.