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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+7.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+7.39vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+6.01vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.09+4.03vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+5.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+2.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04+0.32vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.36vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.28+0.69vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-5.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82+0.10vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.05-1.85vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-7.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.82-6.60vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.90-7.87vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.39Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.1Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.15Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.13Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Clapp | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.