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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.30+2.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.93+0.37vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.12+0.57vs Predicted
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5Clemson University2.16-1.48vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-2.15vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.45-1.15vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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2.37College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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3.57Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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3.52Clemson University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.85Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.85Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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5.59American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hause | 19.0% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Warren | 35.0% | 25.7% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Hadley Burnham | 13.8% | 15.3% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Drew Lisicki | 15.7% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 10.6% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 5.8% |
| Robert Dye | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 27.0% | 45.6% |
| Leigh Cramer | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 27.9% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.