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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.70+3.66vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.75+3.04vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.21+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+2.43vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University-0.67+4.44vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.61+3.29vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.45-1.24vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.48-2.14vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.95-4.46vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.83+1.12vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.00-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-3.68vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-2.40+1.76vs Predicted
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14College of Coastal Georgia-1.40-2.22vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-1.99-1.50vs Predicted
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16Wake Forest University-2.44-1.37vs Predicted
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17Davidson College-1.97-3.46vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Jacksonville University0.7014.8%1st Place
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5.04Jacksonville University0.7512.8%1st Place
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6.51University of Miami0.218.6%1st Place
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6.43University of South Florida0.507.2%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University-0.673.0%1st Place
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9.29Rollins College-0.612.9%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.4510.2%1st Place
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5.86Jacksonville University0.4810.1%1st Place
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4.54Rollins College0.9515.8%1st Place
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11.12Embry-Riddle University-1.832.0%1st Place
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10.33Florida State University-1.003.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Central Florida-0.204.3%1st Place
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14.76Unknown School-2.400.4%1st Place
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11.78College of Coastal Georgia-1.402.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Central Florida-1.990.7%1st Place
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14.63Wake Forest University-2.440.7%1st Place
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13.54Davidson College-1.971.1%1st Place
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15.49Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiona Froelich | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Brandon | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Sexton | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 21.1% |
| Omar Ahmed | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 9.4% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 20.9% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.8% |
| John Beacham | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 21.1% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.