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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+8.37vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.39vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+7.07vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.93vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+8.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.28+3.41vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.36vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.82+3.46vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.14vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-5.07vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.92-4.26vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.90-5.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-4.48vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.04-7.54vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.05-4.42vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.94-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.93Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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14.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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5.64Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.93Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.46Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.58Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 37.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 20.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Max Clapp | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.