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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+8.53vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+6.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+5.10vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+3.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+2.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-0.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+0.80vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-2.48vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.28-0.10vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.82+0.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40+0.34vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.90-6.12vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.05-3.43vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.92-7.98vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.94-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.53Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.82Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.53Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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13.14Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
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8.88Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.57Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.59Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
| Christos Karplus | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 34.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
| Max Clapp | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.