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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+7.31vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.47vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+6.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+2.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+3.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.04+1.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.90+1.00vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-1.44vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-2.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-1.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-5.63vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.84-5.77vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.28-4.27vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.82-3.47vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.40-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.81Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.43Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.0Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.19University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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13.53Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Max Clapp | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| Christos Karplus | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.