← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.50+5.49vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.70+2.56vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.75+2.18vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.45+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College0.95-0.47vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-1.83+5.21vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-1.00+3.35vs Predicted
-
8Jacksonville University0.48-2.19vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.21-2.44vs Predicted
-
10Rollins College-0.61-0.61vs Predicted
-
11Unknown School-2.40+3.66vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-1.99+1.43vs Predicted
-
13Davidson College-1.97+0.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Central Florida-0.20-5.74vs Predicted
-
15Florida Institute of Technology-2.74+0.38vs Predicted
-
16College of Coastal Georgia-1.40-4.19vs Predicted
-
17Wake Forest University-2.44-2.39vs Predicted
-
18Jacksonville University-0.67-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.49University of South Florida0.507.1%1st Place
-
4.56Jacksonville University0.7016.1%1st Place
-
5.18Jacksonville University0.7511.8%1st Place
-
5.67University of South Florida0.4511.3%1st Place
-
4.53Rollins College0.9515.4%1st Place
-
11.21Embry-Riddle University-1.831.8%1st Place
-
10.35Florida State University-1.002.5%1st Place
-
5.81Jacksonville University0.4811.2%1st Place
-
6.56University of Miami0.217.0%1st Place
-
9.39Rollins College-0.613.2%1st Place
-
14.66Unknown School-2.400.5%1st Place
-
13.43University of Central Florida-1.990.9%1st Place
-
13.56Davidson College-1.971.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of Central Florida-0.205.2%1st Place
-
15.38Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.2%1st Place
-
11.81College of Coastal Georgia-1.401.1%1st Place
-
14.61Wake Forest University-2.440.3%1st Place
-
9.53Jacksonville University-0.672.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Justin | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 20.4% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 9.3% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Beacham | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 18.4% | 33.6% |
| Omar Ahmed | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 21.9% |
| Conner Brandon | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.