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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.30+2.23vs Predicted
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2Clemson University2.16+1.46vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.12+0.59vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.93-1.57vs Predicted
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5Auburn University0.45+0.89vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology1.97-2.18vs Predicted
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8American University0.59-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23College of Charleston2.300.2%1st Place
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3.46Clemson University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.59Washington College2.120.1%1st Place
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2.43College of Charleston2.930.3%1st Place
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5.89Auburn University0.450.0%1st Place
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3.82Georgia Institute of Technology1.970.1%1st Place
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5.57American University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Hause | 18.8% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Drew Lisicki | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 10.1% | 2.3% |
| Hadley Burnham | 14.5% | 14.4% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Warren | 33.9% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Robert Dye | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 26.2% | 47.7% |
| Morgan O'Neil | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 5.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 28.3% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.