← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.23+2.12vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami-0.16+3.19vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.12-1.01vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-0.15+1.27vs Predicted
-
5Florida State University0.12-0.13vs Predicted
-
6University of Florida1.12-2.65vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.43-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.12University of South Florida1.230.2%1st Place
-
5.19University of Miami-0.160.0%1st Place
-
1.99Jacksonville University2.120.4%1st Place
-
5.27Rollins College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
4.87Florida State University0.120.1%1st Place
-
3.35University of Florida1.120.2%1st Place
-
4.2Eckerd College0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Stukbauer | 18.7% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| John MacMoyle | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 30.1% |
| Chris Kiener | 42.9% | 30.5% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Baker | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 32.0% |
| Christopher Deleon | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 22.0% |
| anderson brunsvold | 15.6% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Evan Langford | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.