Race 1A

top-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andy Reiter 21.0% 18.9% 17.1% 11.8% 11.0% 9.7% 6.2% 3.5% 0.8%
Ethan Andersen 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 6.3% 6.7% 9.9% 9.6% 18.8% 39.0%
Jack Elkin 10.2% 11.0% 11.4% 11.9% 12.8% 12.0% 13.6% 11.8% 5.3%
Joseph LaForgia 13.2% 14.1% 14.4% 14.5% 13.7% 9.2% 9.7% 8.0% 3.2%
Liam McCarthy 18.0% 18.1% 14.7% 11.2% 10.8% 9.4% 9.1% 6.2% 2.5%
Derek Poon Tip 7.0% 8.2% 7.9% 10.2% 11.1% 13.9% 14.0% 14.2% 13.5%
Roberto Stevens 13.1% 13.2% 14.5% 14.8% 13.4% 11.5% 9.1% 6.9% 3.5%
Nicholas Gartner 8.0% 7.0% 8.6% 9.4% 10.4% 12.5% 14.7% 14.5% 14.9%
Pierre Thibodeau 6.3% 6.6% 7.8% 9.9% 10.1% 11.9% 14.0% 16.1% 17.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.