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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-0.31+6.98vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.21+4.53vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50+3.50vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.32+2.20vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.21-1.16vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.95-1.38vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.84-2.46vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-2.24vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-1.00+1.38vs Predicted
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10Unknown School-2.40+4.14vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.04vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.61-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.99-0.94vs Predicted
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15Davidson College-1.97-1.77vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-1.07vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University-2.44-2.80vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.76-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Jacksonville University-0.314.4%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami0.217.5%1st Place
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6.5University of South Florida0.508.0%1st Place
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6.2Jacksonville University0.328.4%1st Place
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3.84Eckerd College1.2119.1%1st Place
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4.62Rollins College0.9513.8%1st Place
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4.54Jacksonville University0.8415.4%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.459.2%1st Place
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10.38Florida State University-1.002.2%1st Place
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14.14Unknown School-2.400.6%1st Place
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10.96Embry-Riddle University-1.831.5%1st Place
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9.16Rollins College-0.613.2%1st Place
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8.28University of Central Florida-0.203.8%1st Place
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13.06University of Central Florida-1.990.8%1st Place
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13.23Davidson College-1.971.1%1st Place
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14.93Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.4%1st Place
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14.2Wake Forest University-2.440.5%1st Place
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16.68College of Coastal Georgia-3.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Lansford | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 19.1% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 13.8% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 9.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| John Beacham | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 24.0% | 14.5% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 9.6% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 14.8% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.