Race 1A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Helaine Meyer 9.9% 13.3% 12.1% 15.8% 14.4% 15.6% 9.3% 6.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Benjmain Berg 28.1% 22.1% 18.7% 12.4% 10.7% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Pollick 6.7% 6.3% 7.7% 9.6% 12.1% 13.1% 16.1% 15.0% 8.4% 3.9% 1.1%
Tucker Adams 21.9% 20.8% 20.6% 14.3% 10.2% 6.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Molly Hermann 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.9% 2.0% 3.5% 6.0% 9.5% 15.6% 22.3% 33.9%
Philip Driscoll 1.1% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.7% 6.5% 9.6% 14.7% 22.4% 35.8%
Oliver Jennings 12.8% 14.5% 13.9% 14.9% 13.7% 12.2% 8.7% 5.5% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Estelle Beguin 4.7% 4.6% 5.8% 7.3% 10.6% 11.8% 15.5% 15.5% 13.9% 7.6% 2.7%
Sara Makaretz 9.4% 11.2% 13.1% 12.3% 14.2% 14.8% 11.6% 7.3% 4.7% 1.3% 0.1%
Erik Verlage 3.1% 2.5% 3.4% 6.0% 6.6% 8.7% 13.3% 15.9% 16.8% 17.8% 5.9%
Katelyn Guerrera 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.3% 5.5% 7.3% 12.9% 19.2% 23.6% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.