← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Liam McCarthy 16.3% 16.3% 12.5% 14.8% 13.3% 10.3% 7.8% 6.3% 2.4%
Roberto Stevens 11.3% 13.1% 14.6% 13.8% 13.8% 10.7% 10.8% 7.3% 4.6%
Joseph LaForgia 14.2% 12.3% 13.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.5% 10.3% 7.4% 4.0%
Andy Reiter 21.3% 20.8% 15.3% 13.2% 11.2% 8.5% 4.9% 3.4% 1.4%
Ethan Andersen 3.4% 5.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.3% 8.8% 10.1% 15.6% 36.5%
Nicholas Gartner 7.8% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.9% 13.6% 14.7% 16.1% 12.4%
Derek Poon Tip 7.5% 6.8% 8.3% 8.4% 11.1% 13.1% 14.7% 16.4% 13.7%
Jack Elkin 11.2% 11.4% 11.8% 13.0% 11.9% 10.3% 12.5% 11.1% 6.8%
Pierre Thibodeau 7.0% 6.2% 9.1% 9.0% 8.7% 11.2% 14.2% 16.4% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.