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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.00vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+2.45vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.40vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53-0.57vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+1.73vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.40vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89-3.20vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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4.45Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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3.43Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.73Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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5.71George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.8Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 14.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 21.3% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 36.5% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 13.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.