← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.53+2.54vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University3.16+2.43vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.39vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.49+1.59vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.89-0.29vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.50-0.41vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.00vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.87-1.12vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.54Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
4.43Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
4.39University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
5.59George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
4.71Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.59U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
-
6.88Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 21.2% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 13.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Ethan Andersen | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 18.3% | 36.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.