Race 5A

top-coed

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Gartner 7.9% 6.9% 9.3% 9.3% 10.1% 12.1% 13.9% 16.9% 13.6%
Andy Reiter 17.9% 18.3% 15.2% 15.1% 11.9% 9.1% 7.0% 3.9% 1.6%
Ethan Andersen 3.8% 4.3% 4.3% 4.9% 7.1% 8.5% 11.5% 17.5% 38.1%
Derek Poon Tip 7.0% 7.3% 10.0% 10.0% 10.4% 13.9% 13.3% 14.2% 13.9%
Pierre Thibodeau 7.3% 8.1% 10.5% 7.2% 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 14.2% 18.2%
Joseph LaForgia 13.6% 14.5% 12.5% 14.3% 13.2% 10.9% 9.4% 9.0% 2.6%
Jack Elkin 11.6% 9.2% 11.6% 12.1% 12.3% 13.6% 11.9% 11.4% 6.3%
Roberto Stevens 14.2% 15.8% 11.6% 13.8% 11.7% 11.4% 11.2% 7.5% 2.8%
Liam McCarthy 16.7% 15.6% 15.0% 13.3% 12.6% 9.4% 9.1% 5.4% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.