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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Ethan Andersen 4.6% 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 6.7% 7.9% 11.3% 17.9% 36.9%
Jack Elkin 8.5% 10.9% 11.3% 10.7% 13.7% 12.8% 13.8% 10.8% 7.5%
Andy Reiter 20.5% 17.4% 16.4% 14.0% 11.7% 8.1% 7.6% 3.0% 1.3%
Nicholas Gartner 6.6% 8.6% 10.0% 9.9% 10.8% 13.2% 13.8% 12.6% 14.5%
Joseph LaForgia 15.3% 16.1% 13.6% 11.5% 11.3% 10.5% 9.9% 8.4% 3.4%
Roberto Stevens 13.9% 15.0% 13.2% 15.0% 12.7% 11.6% 8.4% 6.7% 3.5%
Derek Poon Tip 6.9% 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 11.6% 13.4% 14.1% 16.1% 13.5%
Liam McCarthy 16.5% 15.6% 13.9% 14.3% 11.0% 10.4% 8.4% 6.9% 3.0%
Pierre Thibodeau 7.2% 6.8% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 12.1% 12.7% 17.6% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.