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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.87+5.88vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+3.03vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+0.57vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.50+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12-0.79vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16-1.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.95vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.03Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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3.57Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.54U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Pennsylvania3.120.2%1st Place
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4.21Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.7George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Andersen | 4.6% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 36.9% |
| Jack Elkin | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.5% |
| Andy Reiter | 20.5% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 15.3% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.