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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.40vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+1.59vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.70vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.05vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89-2.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87-1.12vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.16-4.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.59George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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3.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.88Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.23Fordham University3.160.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 21.0% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 14.0% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 17.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 36.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.