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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+3.84vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+1.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.70vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+0.20vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+0.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.87+0.87vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.00vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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3.71Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.2Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.52George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.87Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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4.32University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
| Andy Reiter | 17.6% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 13.7% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 18.8% | 35.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.