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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.04vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.87+5.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.71vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+0.17vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89-1.24vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.29vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-4.47vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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7.07Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.17Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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4.76Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.71George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.34University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 16.1% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 38.9% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.7% |
| Roberto Stevens | 13.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Andy Reiter | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.