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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Liam McCarthy 16.1% 14.7% 14.2% 14.5% 12.5% 11.6% 8.5% 4.8% 3.1%
Ethan Andersen 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 8.4% 11.7% 18.5% 38.9%
Nicholas Gartner 7.0% 6.7% 9.1% 8.8% 11.9% 11.4% 15.0% 15.4% 14.7%
Roberto Stevens 13.8% 16.1% 13.6% 15.0% 11.3% 10.7% 9.5% 6.9% 3.1%
Pierre Thibodeau 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 10.5% 9.7% 9.4% 11.7% 17.8% 16.2%
Jack Elkin 11.4% 10.3% 12.1% 12.5% 13.9% 12.0% 12.1% 9.8% 5.9%
Derek Poon Tip 7.5% 6.7% 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 15.8% 14.3% 15.7% 13.6%
Andy Reiter 19.8% 20.1% 16.4% 11.7% 11.8% 9.4% 6.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Joseph LaForgia 14.1% 13.5% 12.8% 13.3% 13.0% 11.3% 11.1% 7.5% 3.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.