← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Elkin 10.2% 12.0% 11.8% 9.8% 13.0% 13.3% 11.2% 11.9% 6.8%
Nicholas Gartner 5.3% 7.2% 8.2% 9.5% 10.4% 11.5% 16.7% 16.6% 14.6%
Liam McCarthy 16.8% 14.0% 15.6% 13.0% 11.5% 10.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.1%
Pierre Thibodeau 5.7% 8.8% 9.1% 9.2% 9.6% 12.3% 14.6% 15.7% 15.0%
Derek Poon Tip 7.9% 8.4% 9.7% 10.9% 10.2% 11.7% 11.6% 13.6% 16.0%
Joseph LaForgia 13.8% 13.1% 13.9% 15.3% 11.5% 11.9% 9.5% 7.5% 3.5%
Roberto Stevens 14.8% 13.0% 13.1% 13.3% 15.6% 10.6% 8.8% 8.9% 1.9%
Andy Reiter 21.1% 20.0% 13.9% 13.1% 11.6% 9.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4%
Ethan Andersen 4.4% 3.5% 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 9.4% 11.1% 15.7% 38.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.