← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.89+3.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.84vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+1.72vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.49+0.53vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.70vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.16-2.75vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.53-4.47vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University1.87-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.88Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.84U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
-
4.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
-
5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
-
5.53George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
-
4.3University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
-
4.25Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
3.53Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
6.9Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 1.9% |
| Andy Reiter | 21.1% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.