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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.50+3.87vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+1.32vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+0.70vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.49+0.53vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.04vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-1.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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4.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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4.7Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.53George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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6.89Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 21.1% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 14.2% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 15.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 14.9% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 38.3% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 13.8% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.