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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.84+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.20+6.24vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+4.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.21-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.21+1.56vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-1.83+4.79vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-2.39vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-2.29vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.50-2.29vs Predicted
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10Florida State University-1.00+0.36vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.32-4.76vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.61-2.89vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-1.99+0.09vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.40+0.23vs Predicted
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15Wake Forest University-2.44-0.81vs Predicted
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16Davidson College-1.97-2.79vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-2.08vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.76-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Jacksonville University0.8414.8%1st Place
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8.24University of Central Florida-0.204.3%1st Place
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7.91Jacksonville University-0.314.9%1st Place
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3.82Eckerd College1.2120.2%1st Place
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6.56University of Miami0.218.3%1st Place
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10.79Embry-Riddle University-1.832.1%1st Place
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4.61Rollins College0.9514.8%1st Place
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5.71University of South Florida0.458.4%1st Place
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6.71University of South Florida0.506.9%1st Place
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10.36Florida State University-1.002.0%1st Place
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6.24Jacksonville University0.327.8%1st Place
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9.11Rollins College-0.612.8%1st Place
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13.09University of Central Florida-1.990.7%1st Place
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14.23Unknown School-2.400.5%1st Place
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14.19Wake Forest University-2.440.4%1st Place
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13.21Davidson College-1.970.8%1st Place
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14.92Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.3%1st Place
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16.67College of Coastal Georgia-3.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 20.2% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Menesale | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mason Mattice | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Sexton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| John Beacham | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 15.6% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.