Race 2A

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjmain Berg 25.4% 24.5% 15.3% 17.1% 8.5% 5.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Makaretz 10.6% 10.6% 13.8% 12.9% 14.5% 14.4% 10.1% 7.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Tucker Adams 21.4% 21.1% 18.4% 14.6% 11.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Helaine Meyer 11.6% 10.5% 13.5% 14.0% 15.5% 13.7% 10.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Erik Verlage 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 4.6% 7.6% 7.2% 12.2% 17.3% 18.8% 15.0% 7.7%
Sarah Pollick 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 10.6% 10.0% 16.1% 16.2% 11.1% 8.2% 4.5% 1.2%
Oliver Jennings 13.7% 14.5% 14.6% 13.6% 13.4% 11.0% 10.5% 5.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Estelle Beguin 4.7% 4.2% 6.6% 6.9% 9.9% 13.1% 14.8% 14.1% 15.3% 8.1% 2.3%
Molly Hermann 1.4% 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.1% 5.2% 10.1% 16.4% 22.8% 33.3%
Katelyn Guerrera 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 1.9% 3.8% 5.0% 7.1% 14.0% 16.5% 24.4% 21.9%
Philip Driscoll 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.8% 6.1% 11.7% 14.6% 22.6% 33.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.