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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.53vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+2.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.50+2.70vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89-1.24vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.49-1.27vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.44Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Naval Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.1%1st Place
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4.76Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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5.73George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.9Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.9% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Gartner | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 37.7% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 13.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.