Race 14A

top-coed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andy Reiter 20.7% 17.9% 16.5% 13.7% 11.8% 9.7% 4.8% 3.8% 1.1%
Ethan Andersen 3.2% 2.6% 3.7% 5.3% 7.6% 9.2% 10.9% 17.5% 40.0%
Roberto Stevens 13.3% 13.9% 13.9% 12.3% 14.8% 11.2% 9.5% 7.9% 3.2%
Nicholas Gartner 7.0% 9.5% 8.8% 10.3% 9.6% 13.0% 13.9% 15.6% 12.3%
Jack Elkin 12.6% 12.3% 12.6% 12.3% 10.6% 9.7% 13.3% 10.4% 6.2%
Liam McCarthy 15.8% 16.3% 14.3% 14.9% 13.3% 10.5% 7.8% 4.2% 2.9%
Derek Poon Tip 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 9.0% 10.0% 14.4% 15.4% 15.2% 13.7%
Joseph LaForgia 13.5% 14.5% 13.1% 13.1% 12.1% 11.3% 10.3% 7.9% 4.2%
Pierre Thibodeau 7.1% 5.7% 8.9% 9.1% 10.2% 11.0% 14.1% 17.5% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.