Race 1A

top-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Olivia de Olazarra 18.2% 15.4% 14.4% 12.8% 11.6% 10.9% 8.3% 4.3% 4.1%
Katherine Cox 9.0% 10.8% 11.1% 11.9% 11.6% 11.6% 12.3% 11.1% 10.6%
Sebby Turner 9.2% 7.7% 10.3% 10.5% 11.0% 9.4% 12.4% 14.5% 15.0%
Ellie Ungar 10.6% 12.8% 11.9% 10.8% 12.4% 10.8% 11.0% 10.8% 8.9%
Charlotte Leclue 6.1% 8.1% 7.7% 9.3% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7% 15.7% 24.2%
Olivia Windemuller 9.0% 9.1% 10.3% 9.1% 12.2% 12.5% 13.1% 13.3% 11.4%
Macey McCann 8.5% 7.7% 7.9% 10.7% 9.3% 11.9% 14.2% 13.9% 15.9%
Riley Legault 16.6% 16.9% 14.4% 13.1% 9.9% 10.3% 9.1% 6.4% 3.3%
Ava Esquier 12.8% 11.5% 12.0% 11.8% 13.3% 13.1% 8.9% 10.0% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.