← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+4.02vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.14+3.54vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.98vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.45vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.04-0.48vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.11-1.57vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.76-4.02vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.73-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
5.54Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
4.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
-
4.55University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.52Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
5.43Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
3.98George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
-
6.19Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Ungar | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
| Macey McCann | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Riley Legault | 17.5% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.