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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.91vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.03vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+1.29vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.11+0.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04-1.40vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.21George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.29Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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5.29Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Riley Legault | 12.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 19.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Macey McCann | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 27.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.