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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.04+4.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.19vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.44vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+1.27vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-0.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.09vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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4.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.27Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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6.22Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macey McCann | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 14.0% |
| Riley Legault | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.4% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 27.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 13.1% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.