← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.96vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.17vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.73+3.34vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.11+1.34vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.14+0.22vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.25-0.88vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-1.93vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.24vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.76-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
-
5.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.34Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.34Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
5.22Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.12Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
-
5.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
4.76University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
4.02George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.9% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 28.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% |
| Marley Mais | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.1% |
| Riley Legault | 17.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.