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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.76+3.05vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+3.68vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31-0.09vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14-0.67vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73-0.68vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.25-2.88vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.68Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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4.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.33Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.32Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.12Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Legault | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Sebby Turner | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.2% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 27.1% |
| Marley Mais | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.