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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Riley Legault 16.8% 15.6% 14.1% 12.1% 12.9% 10.7% 8.6% 5.4% 3.8%
Sebby Turner 6.4% 7.3% 10.1% 9.8% 11.7% 11.2% 11.9% 16.4% 15.2%
Katherine Cox 10.5% 10.3% 10.8% 11.4% 11.2% 13.3% 11.4% 11.2% 9.9%
Olivia de Olazarra 17.2% 17.5% 14.9% 15.0% 10.1% 8.8% 8.8% 4.8% 2.9%
Ellie Ungar 11.3% 12.3% 11.9% 10.9% 10.9% 9.9% 11.1% 11.5% 10.2%
Olivia Windemuller 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 10.3% 12.4% 11.9% 12.6% 12.6% 12.6%
Charlotte Leclue 6.1% 5.4% 6.3% 7.5% 7.6% 11.1% 13.6% 15.3% 27.1%
Marley Mais 10.7% 9.5% 11.2% 10.5% 11.6% 11.4% 11.0% 13.1% 11.0%
Ava Esquier 12.0% 12.8% 11.4% 12.5% 11.6% 11.7% 11.0% 9.7% 7.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.