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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.11+4.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+3.27vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.25+2.19vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.76-0.06vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.34vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-2.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.73-1.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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5.19Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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3.94George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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5.26Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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4.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebby Turner | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.1% |
| Ellie Ungar | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% |
| Marley Mais | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Riley Legault | 15.5% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 28.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.