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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.45+4.90vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.84+2.63vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.21+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.21+2.55vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-1.83+5.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.50+0.51vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-2.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.32-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20-0.64vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.31-2.05vs Predicted
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11Davidson College-1.97+2.07vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.99+1.04vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.61-3.95vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.40+0.18vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-1.00-4.64vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-2.74-1.07vs Predicted
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17Wake Forest University-2.44-2.78vs Predicted
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18College of Coastal Georgia-3.76-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of South Florida0.459.4%1st Place
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4.63Jacksonville University0.8412.2%1st Place
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3.77Eckerd College1.2120.7%1st Place
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6.55University of Miami0.217.3%1st Place
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10.88Embry-Riddle University-1.831.7%1st Place
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6.51University of South Florida0.507.5%1st Place
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4.69Rollins College0.9515.0%1st Place
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6.2Jacksonville University0.328.8%1st Place
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8.36University of Central Florida-0.204.0%1st Place
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7.95Jacksonville University-0.314.7%1st Place
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13.07Davidson College-1.970.8%1st Place
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13.04University of Central Florida-1.990.9%1st Place
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9.05Rollins College-0.613.5%1st Place
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14.18Unknown School-2.400.5%1st Place
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10.36Florida State University-1.001.9%1st Place
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14.93Florida Institute of Technology-2.740.4%1st Place
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14.22Wake Forest University-2.440.7%1st Place
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16.72College of Coastal Georgia-3.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Menesale | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.2% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 20.7% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Luke Justin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Mattice | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Adrien Barnes | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Sexton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Rupert | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 8.8% |
| Kallista Halatsis | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Beacham | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 16.5% |
| Charles Palmer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 9.1% |
| Mary Elliot | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.