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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.14+4.37vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.76+2.18vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+2.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03-1.40vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.11-2.63vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.73-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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4.18George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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6.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Windemuller | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.3% |
| Riley Legault | 12.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 18.5% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 14.3% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.